Libyan Nuclear Weapons

Supporters of Muammar Gaddafi continue to resist rebel forces in two cities as I type this. There have been concerns about the fate of chemical weapons stores in Libya, but the world can celebrate that Gaddafi was convinced to give up development of nuclear weapons in 2003.

An article on Globalsecurity.org w discusses that Libya wanted to develop nuclear weapons to counteract the weapons believed to be held by Israel. They were willing to work with any country to obtain the training and equipment necessary to operate a nuclear weapons development program.  Argentina sent geologists to Libya to teach methods of uranium prospecting and processing, and the Libyans obtained uranium “yellow cake” from Niger in 1978. India agreed to work with them in development of peaceful nuclear technology, and France agreed to build a nuclear research facility to power a water desalination plant. There were inquiries for nuclear weapons technology to China, North Korea, and Pakistan.  The Soviet Union helped staff a nuclear research facility outside of Tripoli, and at one time planned to build a small reactor for the Libyans. The Japanese provided them the technology necessary to operate uranium processing facilities.

U.S. intelligence had warned that Libya would have deployable nuclear weapons by 2007, but according to the article previously mentioned there were secret talks between Libya, the United States, and Great Britain after that warning. Gaddafi requested the talks immediately after the invasion of Iraq (Wikipedia reference) by 148,000 American, 45.000 British, 2000 Australian, and 194 Polish soldiers. George Bush and Tony Blair announced the invasion was to disarm Iraq of weapons of mass destruction, to end Saddam Hussein’s support of terrorism, and to free the Iraqi people. It is common knowledge that weapons of mass destruction were not found (see the posting dated December 31, 2010 titled “Which President Lied About Weapons of Mass destruction).

Libya continued with efforts to obtain processing equipment despite the talks. In October 2003 a U.S.-led naval operation under the Bush administration’s Proliferation Security Initiative intercepted a shipment of uranium enrichment centrifuge equipment bound for Libya. That operation apparently convinced the Libyans they could not continue with plans for development of nuclear weapons and it was announced on December 19, 2003 that they had agreed to destroy all nuclear, chemical, and biological weapons.  The agreement provided that Libya’s facilities could be inspected, and one official stated the opinion they were much further along in their development than had been previously thought. Twenty-five tons of equipment and uranium were removed and delivered to the United States. The New York Times reported there were 4,000 centrifuges of Pakistani design that might have been manufactured in Malaysia in the material shipped to the United States. Documents recovered during inspections included design information for a Chinese nuclear weapon. There was also information that as much as $100 million dollars had been paid by Libya to Pakistani scientists for information and equipment.

Pakistani scientist Abdul Qadeer Khan was instrumental in the international illegal transfer of nuclear materials and technologies. He was involved in development of Pakistan’s uranium enrichment capability, and he established a network of scientists, suppliers, and front companies that provided Libya, North Korea, and Iran nuclear weapons technology and equipment. Michael Laufer of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace developed a chronology of Khan’s activities.  Khan had acquired the blueprints for a Chinese bomb by the early 1980s. It was reported that he was approached by “…an unknown Arab country (possibly Saudi Arabia or Syria) requesting nuclear assistance.” Iran obtained centrifuges from Pakistan that were no longer needed by that country in 1989. Shipments of centrifuges to Libya began in 1997 and continued until they ended their programs in 2003.

There is no doubt Muammar Gaddafi had committed to arm himself with nuclear weapons. I did not agree with the decision to invade Iraq, and there have been many negative consequences of that invasion. However, there was one important positive achieved by that invasion. Gaddafi began negotiations with the U.S. and Britain on weapons of mass destruction immediately after coalition forces entered Iraq. The interception of centrifuges and other equipment by the U.S. Navy a few months later pushed him to end his programs and ship the equipment to the United States. It is frightening to think what might have been if Gaddafi had nuclear weapons when the rebels began to take over Libya.

Great Turning Points in History

This book by Louis L. Snyder has short descriptions of twenty-five events that changed the world. The author observes “…a new direction in history can be brought about by a happening, a stage, or set of conditions, and occasionally by the action of a single individual. I was most interested in four of the events described because they give insight into the conflict between the Christian and Muslim religions. I recently completed a multi-part review of “The Looming Tower, Al-Qaeda and the Road to 9/11,” that includes discussion of the development of militant and terrorist Muslims under the leadership of people such as Osama bin Laden.

Crucifixion of Jesus — This is more about the growth of Christianity in during the years of decline of the Roman Empire than about the singular event of the crucifixion. The author observes, “The selection of the execution itself as a turning point is an arbitrary one—either the birth or resurrection of Jesus could be substituted as the focus of change.” What is important is that Jesus preached of a loving God, feasted with and forgave sinners, healed the sick, and denounced private wealth. His teachings, death, and resurrection resulted in a rapid spread of Christianity “…through the hollow shell of the once magnificent Roman state…” Christianity is a proselytizing religion that declares all other religions inadequate, and it swept through Western Europe, Persia, Armenia, Arabia, and to the Far East. Paganism is said to have been virtually eliminated in major cities by 400 A.D. Christian political organization in the form of bishops, deacons, and of course the hierarchy of the Catholic Church made Christianity the institution considered to control salvation and was also the ultimate political authority.

Flight of Muhammad from Mecca to Medina — Six hundred years after Jesus the Muslim religion arrived to challenge Christianity for dominance. Muhammad had revelations of voices speaking to him and heard himself being called “Messenger of Allah” by the Angel Gabriel. He began calling on people to worship one God, but had few converts for several years. He mostly only succeeded at infuriating Meccan merchants who wanted to eliminate him. He and Abu Bakr hid in a cave for three days until they could obtain camels and flee to Medina in what was later called the flight (the Hegira or Hija). He attracted an arm of believers in Medina and within eight years had taken Mecca. The Koran (Arabic Qur’an) or recitation, appeared shortly after Muhammad’s death and was compiled by Abu Bakr from communication by the Archangel Gabriel to Muhammad. The Islam religion spread to millions of converts. It rejected the Christian doctrine of the Trinity; Muslims believe Allah is the only God.

Battle of Tours This battle in 732 A.D. was the first major defeat of the Muslims as they were attempting to march out of Spain and into Gaul. Muhammad had counseled his followers that “…to fight for religion is better than the world and everything in it.” The promise of martyrdom to Muslims if they died in jihad against unbelievers made them ferocious fighters, and they were accustomed to winning. Abu Bakr as caliph (successor) succeeded at bringing Syria, Egypt, Babylonia, Persia, and Spain under the rule of Islam. Vanquished peoples were either allowed to convert, pay tribute, or put to the sword. Many found it advantageous to embrace the faith, and the liberal treatment by the Muslims led many cities to welcome them. The Franks under Charles had a private army and a poorly trained militia. At least 80,000 Muslims, most of them mounted, were arrayed against Charles under Abderraham, but they had the disadvantage that they were burdened with enormous amounts of plunder from their previous victories. The Muslims mounted several cavalry charges against the phalanx formed by Charles, and they failed. Abderraham was killed in the fighting. A rumor spread that Charles had sent forces to steal from their camp, and they broke off the battle to defend their plunder. The Muslim invasion of Western Europe ended, and they retired to Spain to consolidate their already huge empire.

Crusades: The Speech of Urban II — The crusades were a serious of religious campaigns by the Christians of Western Europe from 1096 to 1291. They began after Pope Urban II gave a speech advocating that the Holy Land be recovered from the Muslims. Thousands would strike out with fanatical enthusiasm with little thought of how they would get to the Holy Land or what they would do to combat a powerful enemy once they got there. The most ghastly tragedy was the Children’s Crusade, which involved 50,000 children marching off to be either killed or taken into slavery. On 1291 the last Christian post in the Holy Land was stormed by Sultan Kelaun, and the defenders who weren’t massacred were sold into slavery, thus ending the Crusades. Oddly it is advocated that the Crusades resulted in a positive economic effect. Crusaders who survived to return home brought Oriental goods, and there would be fortunes made in meeting European demand for more goods. Also, feudal lords often freed their serfs before they marched off to often die in the Holy Land. The ones who survived brought back amazing stories of the magnificent cities and progress in art, science, and philosophy in the Muslim lands. Considerable knowledge was transferred to the West. However, the negatives should not be overlooked. Osama bin Laden called the allied soldiers who were in the two invasions of Iraq and the invasion of Afghanistan Crusaders as he taught young Arabs they had a duty of jihad against America.

The Looming Tower, Al Qaeda and the Road to 9/11–Part IV

The first two parts of the review of the book by Lawrence Wright were about the origins of al-Qaeda and the role of world Arabs, including bin Laden and al-Zawahiri, in the fighting against the Soviets in Afghanistan and the civil war that continued for years after the retreat of the Soviets. Part III is about the development of al-Qaeda in the years following the defeat of the Russians and how the U.S. and other countries forced bin Laden to go to back to Afghanistan. That country had disintegrated into chaos and violence with the Taliban (the Pashtu word for students), consisting of young men who were often orphans and had been raised mostly without influence from women. The Taliban were able to defeat the Afghan army in a few provinces, but the government held on and fought back in others. Saudi Arabia and Pakistan supported the Taliban, believing they were the best chance for eventual order. The Taliban inquired of Saudi Arabia what they should do with bin Laden when he arrived, and they were told to hold him and keep him quiet. The Taliban eventually succeeded at capturing the Afghan president and brutally tortured him to death.

Bin Laden in the early days was living in Afghanistan close to poverty. A collection had to be taken to find $100 for one of his followers to take an emergency trip. However, it was determined that he had found the money to finance an attack that led to the killing of fifty-eight tourists and four locals at an Egyptian tourist site. Mostly he and al-Qaeda struggled to be recognized by news agencies and to attract contributions. But then the U.S. intelligence services that failed at nearly every opportunity to cooperate with each other and the Saudis began to take him more seriously. The Saudis sent four hundred four wheel-drive pickup trucks and other financial aid to the Taliban as a down payment for the delivery of bin Laden. The Taliban, including Arabs sent by bin Laden, used the trucks to overrun a Shiite city of Hazaras and slaughter many of the inhabitants. Hundreds of captives were locked in shipping containers and left to die. Five to six thousand people were killed, including ten Iranian diplomats. Four hundred women were taken to be concubines.

Al-Qaeda then successfully bombed the U.S. embassies in Kenya and Tanzania.* Both bombings were done with trucks filled with explosives, and al-Qaeda had learned that gunfire or a grenade detonating prior to the explosion increased casualties because people would come to the windows to see about the commotion and would be shredded with broken glass. Muslims were horrified at the toll on innocent civilians. There were twelve Americans killed in Kenya, 213 total deaths, and 4500 injured, including 150 who were blinded by flying glass. The bombing in Tanzania killed 11 and wounded 85. None were Americans. The FBI and CIA bickered over the investigation, but they did learn an Egyptian member of al-Qaeda had walked into the embassy a year earlier in Nairobi and told the CIA of the plot.

During this time Monica Lewinksky was testifying to the grand jury about the sexual favors she had given President Clinton. Muslims feared retaliation after the bombings would be used to distract from the scandal. “No war for Monica!” was a sign on many Arab streets. President Clinton authorized the firing of thirteen Tomahawk cruise missiles into Khartoum at a chemical plant where a soil sample collected near the plant was found to contain what was thought to be a component of nerve gas. The plant was destroyed and a watchman was killed. It was learned the plant was manufacturing only legitimate pharmaceuticals and veterinary medicines, and had manufactured over half of Sudan’s medicines. Shortly after the factory was destroyed there were cruise missiles headed toward Khost in Afghanistan on a report bin Laden was in a camp there. Bin Laden was on the road, and on a whim decided to go to Kabul instead of Khost. The camp was damaged and several trainees were killed or injured. Bin Laden was able to replenish his treasury with the $10 million the Chinese paid for unexploded missiles. Perhaps even more important is that bin Laden successfully used the attack to convince the jihadist world of his importance. Children were soon wearing bin Laden T-shirts.

I’ve read many times that the Bush allegation of connections between Saddam Hussein and bin Laden were false, but this book gives at least a few instances of contacts as Hussein sought allies to salvage his regime. Hassan al-Turabi arranged a meeting between the Iraqi intelligence service and al-Qaeda “…with the goal of creating a ‘common strategy’ for deposing pro-Western Arab governments.” The Iraqis met with bin Laden, flattered him, and asked that he stop backing anti-Saddam insurgents. Bin Laden agreed and asked for weapons and training camps in Iraq, although there is no evidence anything came of that. Zawahiri traveled to Baghdad and met with Hussein and later traveled to Afghanistan to discuss the possibility of relocating al-Qaeda. Bin Laden declined, not wanting to be indebted to Hussein.

The men who came to Afghanistan to train with al-Qaeda were mostly middle or upper class and college-educated, mostly in natural sciences and engineering. Some spoke five or six languages, and all were Sunnis. They mostly felt displaced from their countries. Their enemies included heretics, Shiites, America, and Israel. They watched Hollywood thrillers for tips, and particularly liked Arnold Schwarzenegger movies.

Germany was extremely tolerant of all views, trying to overcome the sins of the Nazis. As a result, it wasn’t illegal to plan terrorist attacks unless it was against Germany. Four Muslim friends living in Hamburg visited bin Laden and were instructed to return to Germany and apply to flight schools in the United States. In the interim, on October 12, 2000 a fiberglass fishing boat approached the USS Cole in Aden. The two men in the fishing boat stood, waved, saluted, and set off a detonation that nearly sank the Cole, killed seventeen sailors, and wounded thirty-nine. Bin Laden recited a poem in tribute to the bombing of the Cole that ended with, “Awaiting her is a dinghy, bobbing in the waves.” Bin Laden had hoped the Americans would attack Afghanistan to meet the same fate as the Soviets. That didn’t happen, but he was flooded with new recruits and money.

The first plane struck the tower above O’Neill’s office, and he made it to the concourse. Bin Laden told his celebrating men who had heard the report of the plane striking the tower, “Wait, wait.” O’Neill called one of the women in his life to tell her he was going back in. The second plane hit the other tower, and bin Laden wept, prayed, and held up three fingers. The third plane hit the Pentagon, and bin Laden held up four fingers. Bin Laden would release a video bragging about hitting America “…in one of its softest spots.”

John O’Neill left the FBI and took a job in the World Trade Center in late August 2001. The night of September 10 he was telling friends he thought something big was going to happen. “We’re overdue.” Bin Laden released a message quoting a passage from the Quran, which he repeated three times. Wherever you are, death will find you, even in the looming tower.”

American and British bombers struck Taliban positions October 6. Soon bin Laden and Zawahiri were with about three hundred mujahideen and encouraging them to hold their positions to wait and fight the Americans. American bombers soon hit a cave complex and killed one hundred of them, including eighteen that were identified as al-Qaeda lieutenants. Bin Laden felt betrayed that few Muslims came to join him, and even the Taliban slipped away. He and those who were left escaped to Pakistan. John O’Neill’s body was found in the rubble of the World Trade Center, and his wife and two mistresses met for the first time at his funeral.

The book ends with a description of a man who had seen a wanted poster with Zawahiri’s picture with an offer of $25 million reward for information that led to his capture. There was a telephone number to call, but the man did not have a telephone. Zawahiri and his companions disappeared into the mountains.

*Osama bin Laden had believed the two embassies targeted for bombing were havens for the CIA. He died not knowing that the bombings did kill two CIA agents in Kenya. More information about this is included in the blog posting on this web site published August 2nd.

The Looming Tower, Al-Qaeda and the Road to 9/11–Part III

The first two parts of the review of the book by Lawrence Wright were about the origins of al-Qaeda and the role of world Arabs, including bin Laden and al-Zawahiri, in the fighting against the Soviets in Afghanistan and the civil war that continued for years after the retreat of the Soviets. The young Arabs who had trained for guerrilla warfare in Afghanistan were not often welcome to return to their home countries. They had been indoctrinated with a culture of martyrdom, and takfir, which was the declaration by one Muslim that another Muslim was an unbeliever. Those who returned to Saudi Arabia were immediately arrested for several days of interrogation. In that unwelcoming atmosphere bin Laden must have been pleased when Hasan al-Turabi, a senior official in Sudan, invited him to move to his country. Bin Laden seemed to be settling into a more quiet life there, but he continued to fret about the continued presence of American troops in Saudi Arabia and continued to agitate for attacks on America. Salafist (Salafi Muslims who support jihad) movements were arising across the Arab world, and they found a safe haven to organize in Khartoum. A new vision of al-Qaeda was born with a fatwa encouraging attacks on American troops and declaring that it was allowable for innocent people to be killed in the process.

Bin Laden had once remarked about the World Trade Center was “…those awesome symbolic towers that speak of liberty, human rights and humanity…” That must have been before he began financing Omar Abdul Rahman, the blind sheikh who conspired to bring the towers down. Rahman issued a fatwa allowing bank robbery and killing of Jews, and travelled the United States and Canada giving sermons to immigrant Muslims. He preached that Americans were “…descendants of apes and pigs who have been feeding from the dining tables of the Zionists, Communists, and colonialists.” Ramzi Yousef had been with bin Laden at an al-Qaeda camp in Afghanistan, and he was the man who was sent by Rahman to drive a rented van into the basement of the World Trade Center and light fuses attached to the load of explosives. He hoped to topple the towers and kill a quarter of a million people. The explosion did destroy six stories of structural steel and cement, killed six, and injured 1042. The towers shook and swayed, but did not fall. Yousef escaped to Manila where he plotted to blow up airliners, assassinate the Pope and President Clinton, and to crash a plane into CIA headquarters. Continue reading

The Looming Tower, Al-Qaeda and the Road to 9/11–Part II

I wrote in the first part of this review of the book by Lawrence Wright that I thought it should be required reading for any public official who refuses to use the term “war on terror.”The first part focused on the origins of the radical Muslim organization called al-Qaeda. This part will cover the many failures in initial attempts by bin-Laden to develop a fighting force of world Arabs to help the mujahideen combat the Soviets in Afghanistan. That is followed by his struggles to keep his ideas about combating the west and the U.S. in particular alive after the Soviets were defeated. However, Soviet defeat wasn’t expected in the early days after the invasion. The Muslim world was shaken by the invasion, and Saudi Prince Turki al-Faisal travelled to Pakistan to gauge what was going on there. He and other visitors to follow were appalled at the conditions in the refugee camps. He believed Afghanistan was lost, and that the only hope was to delay the expected invasion of Pakistan. The U.S. was hoping that the Soviets now had their own “Vietnam war.”

The mujahideen standing against the Soviets were little more than disorganized mobs. The Pakistani Intelligence Service (ISI) insisted that they would only provide aid to six factions with a warlord at the head of each, and the estimated 3.27 million refugees had to sign up with one of those six parties to be eligible for aid. Turki insisted on a seventh party that would better represent Saudi interests. The seven mujahideen leaders became known to the CIA and other intelligence agencies as the Seven Dwarves. Bin Laden stayed away from the battlefield for years in “Fear of Bodily Participation,” a fact that caused him great shame. He also lost his business in Medina and forfeited about $2.5 million in profits. In 1984 he was taken to a mujahideen camp that was attacked by Soviet jets, but the missiles failed to explode. The Afghans had not even jumped into trenches with the frightened Arabs. Bin-Laden was so impressed by the bravery of the Afghans that he immediately returned to Saudi Arabia and raised millions of dollars to support efforts to help refugees. A fatwa was issued that required every able-bodied Muslim to support the jihad in Afghanistan, which was even to take precedence over the Palestinian struggle against Israel. Bin Laden was “paying the rent” for the Arabs who arrived to join the fight. Continue reading

The Looming Tower, Al-Qaeda and the Road to 9/11–Part I

This book by Lawrence Wright should be required reading for anyone who thinks the term “War on Terror” is insensitive or politically incorrect. The book describes the history of al-Qaeda and the disturbing story of how the failure U.S. intelligence agencies to cooperate assured that they wouldn’t detect the plans to fly airplanes into the Twin Towers, Pentagon, and White House. I intend to do the review in at least four parts, and this part will focus on the origins of al-Qaeda. The doctrine of the modern Islamic movement was developed by Sayyid Qutb (pronounced “Kuh-tub”), who at the age of 42 was a student for six months at what was then the Colorado State College of Education in Greeley, Colorado. He was an Egyptian, a fervent nationalist, and anti-communist who was radicalized by the British occupation of Egypt. He and other Arabs admired how the immigrant nation of America was “…the anticolonial paragon…,” but felt betrayed when America supported the Zionist cause beginning with Harry Truman endorsing the transfer of a hundred thousand Jewish refugees into Palestine. Qutb was influenced to join the Muslim Brothers that had been founded by Hasan al-Banna, and he gained fame as an Islamic thinker by his writings. Qutb found Greeley to be beautiful, but he was scandalized by the behavior of the students and especially the open sexuality of the women.

Qutb withdrew from classes, but spent another eight months in America. He became even more radicalized, and wrote that “The white man crushes us underfoot…” Gamal Abdul Nasser had overthrown King Faruk after Qutb had returned to Egypt, and Nasser invited him to be an advisor. Qutb advocated that the country be controlled by religion, and Nasser believed in control by a strong military. Nasser eventually threw Qutb in prison, released him in three months to be the editor of the Muslim Brothers magazine, and then shut the magazine down after several critical articles by Qutb. The Muslim Brothers attempted to assassinate Nasser and he had six hanged and thousands of others, including Qutb, imprisoned in concentration camps. Qutb smuggled a manifesto titled Milestones that would have a major influence on radical Muslims, including Osama bin Laden. Qutb plotted from prison to overthrow Nasser with money and arms supplied by Saudi Arabia. He was released from prison, but his plots were revealed. He was arrested, tried, and sentenced to death. He declared after the sentence, “Thank God, I performed jihad for fifteen years until I earned this martyrdom.” Nasser knew Qutb was more dangerous dead than alive, and offered to spare him if Qutb appealed his sentence. He told his pleading sister, “My words will be stronger if they kill me.” He was hanged on August 29, 1966. Continue reading