There was a commentary posted February 1, 2012 about George W. Bush’s proposal to allow young people to voluntarily invest a third of their Social Security “contributions” into private accounts. That was successfully vilified as a proposal to “privatize Social Security.” The attacks were based on the lie that the proposal would reduce monthly payments to people already receiving benefits. Older people are dependable voters, and politicians scrapped an idea that would have been wonderful for younger workers.
I wrote in the earlier commentary what would have happened if the proposal had been passed by Congress. Workers could have put the proposed one third or their Social Security “contributions” into a private account invested in an S&P 500 index fund beginning in 2005. There is no doubt 2008 was a scary year for investors. Workers earning $50,000/year would have invested about $8300 into their private account from when the change was proposed. That investment would have dropped in value to about $5700 at the low point of the financial crisis. That would scare anyone! However, what would have happened if the hypothetical investor had the guts to continue to invest two percent of their $50,000 earnings as the market dropped and beyond? The monthly “dollar averaging” investments would have bought more shares in the S&P 500 index fund, and that would have had a powerful effect on the current value of the account. Continue reading