Which President Lied About Weapons of Mass Destruction

President George W. Bush is quoted as saying in his January 2003 State of the Union Address that “The British government has learned that Saddam Hussein recently sought significant quantities of uranium from Africa.” CIA Director George Tenet said even though officials of his agency had concurred that the text was factually correct, those “16 words should never have been included in the text written for the President.” The controversy about whether “Bush lied” in exaggerating or inventing that Iraq had, or had planned to make, weapons of mass destruction consumed American politics and news reports for years.

Iraq did have a history of interest in development of nuclear weapons. A BBC report describes how an air attack by Israel destroyed a French-built nuclear reactor near Baghdad, “saying they believed it was designed to make nuclear weapons to destroy Israel.” The reactor “…was near completion but had not been stocked with nuclear fuel…” Iraq also had more than a theoretical interest in chemical weapons. A Department of Defense report details use of chemical agents numerous times against Iranian forces in the1980s and again in 1988 in attacks that killed thousands of Kurds in Hussein’s own country.

With that history it isn’t a surprise that President Bush and leaders of both political parties almost universally believed that Saddam Hussein probably had retained chemical agents and was willing to use them. But now we arrive at the really interesting part about who lied. There are numerous articles on the Internet about the interrogation of Saddam Hussein by George L. Piro, but I will focus on a “60 Minute” report.

It took five months of interrogation for Piro to gain the trust and respect of Hussein before he admitted why he had led the world to believe Iraq had chemical weapons while the United States was threatening invasion. Hussein admitted he miscalculated President Bush. He expected an air campaign that he could survive. He believed that Iraq’s major enemy was Iran, and that eventually there could be a security agreement with the United States that would prevent the Iranians from annexing southern Iraq. He also believed that he could not survive an inevitable attack from Iran “without the perception that he had weapons of mass destruction.” He told his generals that he would order the use of chemical weapons if Iraq was attacked, and he did that to hold Iran at bay. Saddam Hussein lied, and Bush and his advisors believed the lie.

 

 

 
 
 

 

Dream Act Revisions

I searched the Immigration Policy Center web site after the Dream Act failed to pass to consider the opinions of supporters. That helped me understand why there is a wish to provide a path to citizenship for young people brought to this country illegally who have grown up as Americans. There are several revisions that could be made to the Act that would make it something I could support. The primary flaw with the Act as proposed was, in my opinion, including mere attendance of college as a path to citizenship. I would support citizenship for those who serve honorably in the military.

One criticism of the Act is that it would encourage others to come into the country illegally. Probably the best way to gather support for the Act is to include it in immigration reform legislation that proves we are serious about addressing the total problem, including border security. Of course there would have to be solid proof that the applicants did grow up in this country. There also must be a sunset clause to eliminate incentives for more illegal immigration. However, I have no objection to a young person earning citizenship by honorably serving in the military. To those who might say having only one path to citizenship through military service is too limiting, there is a GI Bill which provides substantial college benefits. The link also provides information on Federal and State grants available to veterans.

President Obama would undoubtedly disagree with my suggestion about the need to consider the Dream Act as part of immigration reform. He said in a recent press conference that border security has been improved under his administration, and that issue shouldn’t deter a vote for the Act. The same day I read a New York Times article by James C. Mckinley Jr. in the Denver Post (December 22, 2010, page 7A) titled “Audit: Millions entering U.S. minus proper ID.” The article included the observation that “A year and a half after the federal government strengthened rules on the documents needed to enter the country, millions of people are still being allowed through without passports or…other identification cards…The Inspector General for the Department of Homeland Security estimated…about 3.6 million people a year were still passing through customs without the required documentation, and that half of those were coming through the border crossing in Texas.”

Hans Rosling’s 200 Countries, 200 Years

This post provides a link to a four minute You Tube presentation about the connection between life expectancy and income.  I originally didn’t think of adding this post to the blog, and then I realized it could be a light companion to the video about nuclear explosions. 

From the description I received, “Hans Rosling’s famous lectures combine enormous quantities of public data with a sport’s commentator’s style to reveal the story of the world’s past, present and future development. Now he explores stats in a way he has never done before – using augmented reality animation. In this spectacular section of ‘The Joy of Stats’ he tells the story of the world in 200 countries over 200 years using 120,000 numbers – in just four minutes. Plotting life expectancy against income for every country since 1810, Hans shows how the world we live in is radically different from the world most of us imagine.”

I don’t know how famous Hans Rosling is, but his video will challenge those who have the opinion math can never be fun.

The Classified Documents in the Pants Mystery

The mystery of how the Justice Department operates becomes more baffling the more I read. “Scooter” Libby was found guilty of failing to remember events correctly, or failing to correctly tell investigators what he knew. He was sentenced to 30-37 months in jail followed by two years of probation and fined $250,000. Sandy Berger stole classified documents from the National Archives, and was sentenced to two years of probation and fined $50,000 after pleading guilty to a misdemeanor.  Berger was supposed to be finding information that would be important to the 9/11 Commission. I speculate that he instead took the opportunity to remove documents that might be embarrassing to him or perhaps the Clinton legacy. One would think that stealing documents from the National Archives would be a serious crime, and that the crime would be even more serious if the purpose was to obstruct the work of the 9/11 Commission.  It apparently was a mere misdemeanor.

Clinton had asked Berger, who had been his National Security Advisor, to testify to the Commission. Berger was allowed access to classified documents in a secure reading room during four visits to the National Archives to prepare for his testimony. He was caught in the act of stealing documents. The incident was reported to the Justice Department by Paul Brachfield, the Inspector General of the National Archives. Brachfield became concerned about a lack of action from DOJ, and arranged a meeting with a DOJ trial attorney to emphasize he was concerned Berger was obstructing the Commission’s investigation. An article sent to me by my Sister-in-law observed that DOJ began to investigate after Brachfield persisted.

There is no way of knowing how many classified documents Berger cleaned out of the National Archives during the visits before he was caught. DOJ apparently wasn’t curious about what he removed, because they decided there was no need for the lie detector test that was a condition of Berger’s plea bargain.  They conducted a multi-million dollar investigation about “who outed Valerie Plame” (even after they learned whodunit early in the investigation and didn’t prosecute that person), but apparently weren’t curious about what Berger was up to.  It’s a mystery. I’d be interested if there is a reader who can explain this to me and/or can set me straight.

 

 

 

Why Was Libby Tried and Not Armitage?

People who have read my opinions about the FBI raid of Rocky Flats and the actions by the Justice Department in the months and years to follow probably won’t be surprised that I am interested in how our government applies what they call justice. The manner in which the “Plame affair” evolved is an interesting example. The story began with the January 28, 2003 State of the Union Address by President George W. Bush in which he said, “The British government had learned that Saddam Hussein recently sought significant quantities of uranium from Nigeria.” State Department official Joseph C. Wilson travelled to Nigeria to investigate the claim for the CIA, and wrote a series of articles disputing what the President had said. One article published in the New York Times was titled “What I Didn’t Find in Africa.” There was an extensive investigation after a Robert Novak column about the dispute identified Valerie Plame to be Wilson’s wife and a CIA operative. The investigation was to determine the source of Novak’s information, and whether that person had violated the Intelligence Identities Protection Act. I. Lewis “Scooter” Libby, who had been Dick Cheney’s Chief of Staff, was the only person tried, and he was tried for perjury and not for being the Novak’s source. Patrick Fitzgerald, the Special Counsel who led the investigation is said to have known from early in the investigation that Deputy Secretary of State Richard Armitage was the source of Novak’s information, but Armitage was never indicted.

The Novak column created a maelstrom that consumed media reporting and partisan politics. President Bush promised that anyone in his administration responsible for revealing Plame’s identity would be held accountable, and the investigation focused on Vice President Cheney, Libby, Karl Rove, Press Secretary Air Fleisher, and many other assorted Bush Administration staff members and assistants. Cheney’s many enemies were rooting for his name to come out on top. However, the facts didn’t play out to be as sinister as the original stories implied. Novak was quoted as saying, “I learned Valarie Plame’s name from Joe Wilson’s entry in ‘Who’s Who in America’.” He confirmed the Wilson/Plame connection in a conversation with Richard Armitage. Karl Rove was eventually identified as Novak’s second source about Plame. Rove testified to the grand jury that he had learned of Plame’s CIA affiliation from journalists. Novak had told Rove what he knew about Plame, and Rove responded, “Oh, you’ve heard about that.”

Armitage was aggressively investigated, and was directed to divulge his role to no one, including President Bush. He is said to have been very distressed about the matter, prepared a resignation letter, but stayed in the State Department for some time to prevent speculation if he departed suddenly. He fully cooperated with investigators without legal counsel, and was not indicted because investigators believed he had been honest with them and hadn’t considered Plame to be an undercover agent when he talked to Novak. Armitage was advised in February 2006 that he would not be charged.

Fitzgerald intended to indict Rove until he learned that Rove had instructed his aides to “find any records of that contact” in reference to his off-hand comment to Novak. Libby wasn’t as fortunate. Libby had learned of Plame’s identity from Vice President Cheney in early June 2003. He discussed her with several other government officials and at least two reporters in early July 2003. He originally told the grand jury he had first heard about Plame from reporter Tim Russert, and Russert testified that his discussion with Libby about Plame came after the Novak column.

The jury was torn about what to decide about Libby. One said that they had commented they wished they weren’t judging him. “We don’t like being here…What we came up with …was that Libby was told about Mrs. Wilson nine times…We believed he did have a bad memory, but it seemed unlikely he would not remember…after being told so many times.” One woman on the jury cried when the verdict was announced, and said she hoped Libby would eventually be pardoned by President Bush. She also said, “It kind of bothers me that there was this whole big crime being investigated and he got caught up in the investigation as opposed to the actual crime that was supposedly committed.” I don’t think there is a need to add anything to that comment.

What tax rates are fair, and who decides?

News reports are filled with politicians debating whether cuts in tax rates passed in the Bush era should be extended, or whether rates for people making the most money should have their rates increased.  Would you be surprised to hear that the share of the tax burden paid by the highest income earners increased after the Bush tax cuts were fully in effect, according to the data in the Tax Foundation report?  The top 0.1% of earners paid 15.68% of all taxes in 2003 and 18.47% of the total in 2008. The top 1% of earners paid 34.27 % of total taxes in 2003 and 38.02% in 2008.   On the other end of the spectrum, the bottom 50% of earners paid 3.46% of the total tax burden in 2003, and that percentage has dropped every year since to 2.70% in 2008.

What tax rate is fair? The Freeman Online has a quote that, “Under Roosevelt, the top rate was…raised—first to 79 percent and later to 90 percent. In 1941, in fact, Roosevelt proposed a 99.5 percent marginal rate on all incomes over $100,000. ‘Why not?’ he said when an adviser questioned him.”   I would hope most people wouldn’t think that to be either good policy or fair.  I believe we have a powerful economy and country in large part because there are incentives to succeed through energetic efforts and willingness to take risks.  Those who have their risks rewarded gain wealth for themselves and employ others.  Some politicians encourage us to resent those who have succeeded financially, and promise they will take more from the wealthy and dole out services to those deemed worthy by massive, inefficient bureaucracies.  Margaret Thatcher said, “The problem with Socialism is that you eventually run out of other people’s money” (The quote is included in Mike Rosen’s column on page 11B of the Denver Post, December 10, 2010.)